Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.365481 0.404051 0.445441 0.493238 0.547008 0.605738 0.674889
2025-04-27 0.305762 0.359659 0.421747 0.498902 0.592682 0.703562 0.845461
2025-05-04 0.271139 0.332347 0.406286 0.502872 0.626717 0.781539 0.991861
2025-05-11 0.245049 0.310396 0.392397 0.503940 0.653383 0.849065 1.128617
2025-05-18 0.226541 0.295159 0.384141 0.509527 0.684136 0.922391 1.278552
2025-05-25 0.205511 0.274161 0.365679 0.498558 0.689826 0.960274 1.380892
2025-06-01 0.193790 0.264393 0.361028 0.505433 0.720058 1.034273 1.542440
2025-06-08 0.180425 0.251046 0.349971 0.501610 0.733518 1.083817 1.670790
2025-06-15 0.170989 0.242415 0.344705 0.505392 0.758029 1.151458 1.834124
2025-06-22 0.159561 0.229955 0.332748 0.497759 0.763659 1.189211 1.951278
2025-06-29 0.150029 0.219596 0.323072 0.492642 0.772405 1.232101 2.080943
2025-07-06 0.137803 0.204334 0.304836 0.472420 0.754487 1.228492 2.127099
2025-07-13 0.132193 0.199053 0.301923 0.477059 0.778989 1.300325 2.320826
2025-07-20 0.127101 0.194257 0.299442 0.482186 0.804739 1.376811 2.532924
2025-07-27 0.122181 0.189380 0.296425 0.486021 0.828286 1.451178 2.749557
2025-08-03 0.117114 0.183923 0.292043 0.487047 0.846650 1.517348 2.957465
2025-08-10 0.113254 0.180201 0.290266 0.492420 0.873294 1.601552 3.213368
2025-08-17 0.106850 0.171839 0.280076 0.481871 0.868881 1.624340 3.339347
2025-08-24 0.103852 0.169077 0.279335 0.488483 0.897932 1.716699 3.631635
2025-08-31 0.099376 0.163513 0.273334 0.484806 0.906313 1.767222 3.834455
2025-09-07 0.096355 0.160308 0.271304 0.488443 0.929547 1.850982 4.126804
2025-09-14 0.091879 0.154295 0.263864 0.481103 0.929603 1.884688 4.301556
2025-09-21 0.088043 0.149233 0.257875 0.476181 0.934254 1.928829 4.508331